Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.013964 0.016217 0.018704 0.021651 0.025046 0.028833 0.033377
2026-01-18 0.010526 0.013416 0.016898 0.021396 0.027047 0.033904 0.042851
2026-01-25 0.008094 0.011185 0.015205 0.020798 0.028365 0.038232 0.052061
2026-02-01 0.006453 0.009580 0.013927 0.020386 0.029712 0.042658 0.061963
2026-02-08 0.005313 0.008411 0.012983 0.020184 0.031198 0.047358 0.072808
2026-02-15 0.004374 0.007342 0.011969 0.019654 0.032037 0.051136 0.082733
2026-02-22 0.003914 0.006926 0.011860 0.020452 0.034960 0.058355 0.098789
2026-03-01 0.003388 0.006301 0.011298 0.020399 0.036451 0.063431 0.112000
2026-03-08 0.002848 0.005555 0.010407 0.019625 0.036570 0.066190 0.121592
2026-03-15 0.002487 0.005071 0.009896 0.019432 0.037647 0.070663 0.134643
2026-03-22 0.002334 0.004957 0.010041 0.020460 0.041068 0.079677 0.156943
2026-03-29 0.002144 0.004738 0.009951 0.021009 0.043632 0.087377 0.177660
2026-04-05 0.001857 0.004275 0.009320 0.020415 0.043912 0.090855 0.190854
2026-04-12 0.001646 0.003940 0.008904 0.020203 0.044940 0.095921 0.207850
2026-04-19 0.001436 0.003574 0.008367 0.019651 0.045171 0.099387 0.221971
2026-04-26 0.001269 0.003277 0.007937 0.019269 0.045710 0.103543 0.238040
2026-05-03 0.001136 0.003043 0.007613 0.019081 0.046650 0.108649 0.256762
2026-05-10 0.001002 0.002781 0.007185 0.018581 0.046793 0.111996 0.271919
2026-05-17 0.000953 0.002732 0.007268 0.019338 0.050027 0.122732 0.305359
2026-05-24 0.000867 0.002569 0.007043 0.019288 0.051276 0.128980 0.328921
2026-05-31 0.000760 0.002329 0.006580 0.018555 0.050707 0.130808 0.341991
2026-06-07 0.000689 0.002179 0.006337 0.018373 0.051532 0.136141 0.364375
2026-06-14 0.000670 0.002181 0.006508 0.019346 0.055550 0.149931 0.409828